Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,278$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(122 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $31$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.535 \times 10^{0.030t}\) (doubling rate \(10.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36.8}{1 + 10^{-0.061 (t - 49.4)}}\) (asimptote \(36.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,234$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $50,879$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(455 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,111,231.7}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 158.3)}}\) (asimptote \(3,111,231.7\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,080$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,645.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 101.9)}}\) (asimptote \(10,645.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,700$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,265$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(929 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,174.6}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.6)}}\) (asimptote \(12,174.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $715$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(147 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{642.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 32.6)}}\) (asimptote \(642.3\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,751$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,106$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(70.2 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,247.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 87.6)}}\) (asimptote \(10,247.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $88$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(10.1 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{124.2}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 63.8)}}\) (asimptote \(124.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,481$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,104$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.382 \times 10^{0.048t}\) (doubling rate \(6.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,912.6}{1 + 10^{-0.069 (t - 71.0)}}\) (asimptote \(1,912.6\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $59$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.00875 \times 10^{0.054t}\) (doubling rate \(5.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{185.4}{1 + 10^{-0.065 (t - 76.0)}}\) (asimptote \(185.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $926$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $35,444$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(523 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{299,854.9}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 125.9)}}\) (asimptote \(299,854.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,271$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(84.9 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,665.3}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 82.8)}}\) (asimptote \(2,665.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,798$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,101$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(52.3 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,640.5}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.1)}}\) (asimptote \(3,640.5\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $21$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.753 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(16.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30.7}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 68.9)}}\) (asimptote \(30.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $567$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(27.1 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{586.1}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 57.0)}}\) (asimptote \(586.1\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $296$ on 2020-06-08